Could Castro possibly win, part 2: The two tribes have their alternate realities, as Krugman semi-explained this morning. (He only mentioned the other tribe’s alternate state.)
On our own liberal channel, it’s all comfort food all the time. But uh-oh! Over on their tribal channel last night, we saw Dick Morris say the following things. We thought again of Michael Corleone, wondering if Castro could win:
MORRIS (3/22/12): The other thing, Greta, that I mentioned here earlier that is just absolutely incredible is that the Republicans are sweeping the U.S. Senate races. Sweeping them! They need to pick up three or four seats, depending on who the vice president is, to control the Senate.We thought of Michael Corleone in Havana again. Two questions:
Right now, there are eight seats currently held by Democrats where Republicans are in the lead, and some of those are incumbent seats, like Missouri, where Sarah Steelman is 10 points ahead of McCaskill—10 points ahead of McCaskill!
Usually, you'd say, “Well, she's behind, but McCaskill's under 50.” In this case, Steelman has 51 and McCaskill has 41. In Ohio, I'm sorry—Josh Mandel is 4 points ahead of Sherrod Brown, the Democratic senator. In Florida, Connie Mack is 6 points ahead of Nelson, the Democratic senator.
If the election were held today, the Republicans with probably pick up eight seats, lose one or two, and end up with a net of six, which is incredible!
VAN SUSTEREN: Well, you raise—I mean, Missouri, Senator McCaskill, that's a really interesting race and how it'll affect the general election because she was very quick to come out and support President Obama over Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. Then she embraced health care, and then no sooner had she embraced health care and been one of the sort of the stewards of it that suddenly, they passed something, I forget what it was—in August 2010, I think, like, 93 percent of the people in Missouri were opposed to the health care, some overwhelming number.
VAN SUSTEREN: So she's really on the rail so that it certainly looks like if she's losing by 10 points now, Missouri doesn't look like it's going to be a stronghold for President Obama come November.
MORRIS: No. And my whole point, Greta, is that right now, the head-to-head of the president against Romney is a little bit obscured because Romney is not the candidate and because they're going through this civil war that's going on in the Republican Party. Once that ends, I think Romney will move up smartly.
But to understand what's really happening in terms of incumbents and Democrats in the United States, you look at those Senate races. I would expect right now that an incumbent senator might be under 50. He might be only 8 or 10 ahead of his Republican challenger.
But you have Nelson behind Mack in Florida. You have McCaskill behind Steelman in Missouri. You have Tester behind Rehberg in Montana. You have Brown behind Mandel in Ohio. And then in open seats in North Dakota, Nebraska and Wisconsin, you have, and you have—and Virginia, you have the Republican ahead.
This is presaging, setting up to be an absolute wipeout for the Democratic Party! And people aren't saying that, but if you look at the data, it's showing it.
How much of that is accurate?
If it's accurate, do you think they’ll say so on our tribal channel? Or will they simply keep clowning around about the height of those trees?